Gaussian Mean Field Variational Inference can Overestimate Predictive Variance

ORID RG7maF4bGu · tags icml2026-repro paper-RG7maF4bGu

#StatusPageArtifactClaim excerpt
1VERIFIED 2/201-mfvi-underestimates-posterior-variance-parameterartifactMFVI underestimates posterior variance in parameter space but can overestimate p…
2VERIFIED 2/202-calibration-constraint-forcing-mfvi-simultaneousartifactLemma 3.6 shows a calibration constraint forcing MFVI to simultaneously underest…
3VERIFIED 2/203-pathological-rank-1-training-data-subspace-scenaartifactIn a pathological rank-1 training-data subspace scenario, as dimensionality incr…
4VERIFIED 2/204-temperature-scaled-posteriors-cold-posteriors-coartifactTemperature-scaled posteriors (cold posteriors, T1) correct the predictive-vari…
5VERIFIED 2/205-experiments-basis-function-regression-uciartifactExperiments on basis function regression and UCI datasets show optimal temperatu…

Open logbook index · logbook.json